The Precious Metals Bull Market Remains Powerful, Vigorous, and Deeply Structural
Intelligent investors don’t gamble—they weigh probabilities.
They analyse how likely an asset is to move in a particular direction over a given timeframe, based on a constellation of critical factors such as historical precedents, macro-fundamentals, central-bank policy behaviour, supply–demand pressures within the asset class, and much more.
Or to put it more succinctly… this is about securing asymmetric payoff.
In other words: identifying opportunities where the potential upside is dramatically larger than the potential downside. You might risk 10–20% on the downside, but if the thesis is right, you stand to gain 50%, 80%, 100% or more.
That is the hallmark of true wealth-building investing.
I say this every year because it remains consistently true: some of the largest, cleanest profits in Gold, Silver, and Platinum are made by those who position in late November through early December.
And without wishing to sound repetitive, I have advised clients for decades that timing, especially in a multi-decade structural bull market like the one we are in today, is an amplifier of long-term returns.
Throughout the year, precious metals offer several highly distinguished, seasonally driven cycle-buying opportunities. We have now stepped directly into one of the most powerful windows of the entire calendar: mid-November through mid-December.
This is where patient, strategic investors consistently gain their advantage.
Silver: The Seasonal Sweet Spot
Over the last decade, the period between 27 November and 19 April has delivered exceptional results for silver long positions:
- 90% of long trades were profitable
- 23.64% average annualised return
- 10.99% average return across 9 out of 10 years
- 21.13% largest seasonal return
- –10.61% single-year loss (1 out of 10 years)
Silver remains the standout performer in seasonal reliability.
Platinum: The High-Reward Seasonal Window
Seasonal data over the last decade and in fact over the last 25 years of data reinforces this view: the period between 26th November into 19th February has historically delivered exceptional results for long trades in platinum.
- 84% profitable years (21 out of 25)
- +51.12% average annualised return
- +8.29% average return
- +46.61% single best yearly return
- –6.99% largest yearly decline
Platinum’s seasonal gains are the strongest in magnitude among the three metals.
Gold: Consistent and Reliable Seasonal Strength
Seasonal data over the last decade and in fact over the last 15 years of data reinforces this view: the period between December into 24th February has historically delivered exceptional results for long trades in gold.
- 87% of long trades profitable
- +34.45% average annualised return
- +7.2% average return
- +14.67% largest yearly gain
- –4.86% maximum loss
A remarkably consistent performer in this seasonal window.
Conclusion: Silver Leads, Platinum Excels, Gold Remains Dependable
Silver remains the standout performer, with 90% of long trades proving profitable, narrowly outperforming both Gold (87%) and Platinum (84%).
However, Platinum has historically delivered the strongest overall returns during this specific three-month seasonal window.
When you combine this historical performance with the deep, structural global shortages—particularly in Silver and Platinum — the investment case for these two metals becomes exceptionally compelling.
What we focus upon here at Indigo precious Metals is helping new and existing clients to understand not only the optimal times to enter this investment class but also an overlay of the macro-fundamentals that drive each metal.
Over the next few years, revaluations in metal prices will become far more dynamic as we move deeper into this secular bull market, making short-term timing of buy opportunities increasingly less relevant.
Disclaimer: The information contained in this website should be used as general information only. It does not take into account the particular circumstances, investment objectives and needs for investment of any investor, or purport to be comprehensive or constitute investment advice and should not be relied upon as such. You should consult a financial adviser to help you form your own opinion of the information, and on whether the information is suitable for your individual needs and aims as an investor. You should consult appropriate professional advisers on any legal, taxation and accounting implications before making an investment.